What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

ÖVRIGT:
Mediatyp: Bok
Bandtyp: Pocket
Författare: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Förlag: Penguin Books Ltd.
Språk: Engelska
Omfång: 366 sidor
Mått (bxhxd): 129x198x28 mm
Vikt: 350 gram
Illustrerad: Nej

Streckkod: 9780141034591
SKU: 600180